HOT or NOT - week 9/20 (Doha, Acapulco) [RAW:-1; POSTED:+2,6]

Last week, the first after HoN comeback was quite OK. Later on I will add some recap to the previous post. But time flies and here we are already with some matches in Doha and Acapulco behind us... I don't like this rush on Monday (and Sunday evening) when I have to analyze both full draws of WTA and TT tournaments - it's a lot of matches and Sunday evening is not a convenient time.

Enough these complaints:) let's move on to my WTA hot or not lists for this week, precisely for Doha cos I give myself some more hours to analyze Acapulco's draw.

Hot list: Barty, Kenin, Martic, Świątek, Vekic, Mertens, Pavlyuchenkova, Bertens, Sabalenka,
*added (Acapulco): Potapova, Hibino, Rus
Not list: Hercog, Garcia, Strycova, Muchova, Sevastova
*added (Acapulco): Stephens (if QF)

On the hot list, there are some obvious names like Barty or Kenin - players who went deep on AO a few weeks ago, both in good form and have no problems playing on hard courts. Bertens is not hard court specialist maybe, although looking only at the last few years I would say she is a solid player on all surfaces, additionally she has a rather easy draw imo.
On the not list you can notice some players that are already out of the tournament and I can be accused of manipulating results... belive me if I would like to cheat then I will be cheating myself cos I use this method for making my own bets. Half of the first's round matches were played yesterday and I made a decision of putting Hercog and Garcia on "not list" back then. In any case, just look at the pick published yesterday on my twitter and blogabet. I run this HoN project mostly for myself, since I have very few followers (or any), I am having fun testing some concepts of mine but simultaneously I have some proofs from previous tests that this method can be effective. In the full form my lists will be hard to follow anyway, so for potential followers picks posted on twitter/blogabet are all that counts. And in case of these picks, there is no shadow of doubts that they are not on time etc.

OK, that is it for now. I hope in next weeks I will write more reasons why these players and no others ... GL. In the afternoon I will add some names regarding Acapulco. 

RECAP
I have some mixetd feelings about this week. Overall it was quite weak for my hot list - there were some early exits that I wouldn't expect. Especially three matches: Mertens-Strycova, Bertens-Zheng and Mertens-Putintseva in which my favs won the first set and then fell apart. Thus the raw metrics is not satisfying - both lists produced 24 matches with a hit rate of 50%. On the other hand the posted picks (blogabet/twitter) went exceptionally good: 4-1 and 2,6 units of profit at 52% ROI.